Race Predictor Calculator
Predict Race Times
Enter a known race result to predict times for other distances
Formula
Riegel: T2 = T1 x (D2/D1)^1.06
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the race predictor work?
It uses the Riegel formula: T2 = T1 x (D2/D1)^1.06. This formula assumes that as race distance increases, your average pace slows by a predictable factor (the 1.06 exponent). It works best for trained runners.
How accurate are race predictions?
For well-trained runners racing between 5K and marathon, predictions are typically within 2-5% of actual results. Less trained runners may see larger discrepancies, especially when predicting longer distances from short race times.
Can I predict a 5K time from a marathon time?
Yes, the formula works in both directions. However, predicting shorter races from longer ones may be less accurate since shorter races depend more on speed than endurance.
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